Comments on: Technology predictions

By: Log Buffer #123: a Carnival of the Vanities for DBAs

Log Buffer #123: a Carnival of the Vanities for DBAs — Fri, 14 Nov 2008 17:54:07 +0000

[...] Smith has issued his technology predictions, which, like the Oscar nominations, we have all been waiting on. This is somewhat off-topic, but [...]

By: MacPlusG3

MacPlusG3 — Tue, 11 Nov 2008 01:16:35 +0000

Henrik: r.e. Nokia: i see them eventually switching platforms. I have almost no doubt that Maemo will eventually be a phone OS as well.

r.e. MySQL and Drizzle. Drizzle has so much cleanup and modularity improvements over MySQL (and soon metadata) that it woudl be a lot more sensible to start with a Drizzle base than a MySQL base.

By: Sergey Petrunia

Sergey Petrunia — Mon, 10 Nov 2008 17:15:28 +0000

> There will be somebody developing a a MySQL compatible release based off Drizzle

Care to elaborate? If you take all the MySQL stuff that’s not in Drizzle and add into Drizzle, you get MySQL + Drizzle’s extra features. Why not just port Drizzle features to MySQL then?

By: Brian Aker

Brian Aker — Mon, 10 Nov 2008 10:37:26 +0000

Funny that you should mention Microsoft and Drizzle…

By: Henrik Ingo

Henrik Ingo — Mon, 10 Nov 2008 10:18:28 +0000

So in mobile phones you don’t list Nokia even as “(small)”. That’s pretty hard – or just an oversight… Are you assuming that the company that ships 40% of the mobile phones today will go bankrupt before 5 years?

Here’s another thought: In 5 years I predict a majority of mobile phones sold in the world will still *not* be smart phones. (I’m taking a chance here, I’m sure it will be close to 50/50, but I still don’t expect China, Africa and LatAm suddenly becoming rich in 5 years.) So you are predicting that Apple will be in the business of selling cheap, simple, black-and-white-screen phones? Microsoft and RIM certainly won’t.

By: Kevin Burton

Kevin Burton — Mon, 10 Nov 2008 01:12:26 +0000

I REALLY need an alternative to ZFS…. btrfs would be easily welcomed!

By: Toby

Toby — Sun, 09 Nov 2008 22:33:17 +0000

Linux is not going to surpass Solaris in filesystem capability any time soon. Certainly not within 2 years! Solaris has a comfortable lead and is likely to maintain that lead, given the profile of its customers and the calibre of its engineering. Furthermore, there is considerable reluctance outside the Solaris community – and even among kernel developers – to acknowledge ZFS as something truly revolutionary. Apple is the oustanding exception – as he has so often done, Jobs was smart enough to recognise and integrate ZFS as a best of breed technology.

By: LinuxJedi

LinuxJedi — Sun, 09 Nov 2008 11:49:13 +0000

Most of the 2 year predictions are safe predictions (which is good), although with the advances in Fedora 10 I doubt the X one will become true.

I also doubt all of the 5 year predictions. Mobiles will still suck and people will still be too suckered in to Microsoft.

By: Glynn Foster

Glynn Foster — Sun, 09 Nov 2008 05:40:47 +0000

mike: Outdated documentation? that’s a new one on me. Would be good to know your issues here, along with the HCL. Are you sure you’ve been using the correct bug system for the OpenSolaris 2008.05 release – defect.opensolaris.org, a bugzilla instance. Not all projects have migrated there yet, but many are looking at it now.

Stewart: you should check Monday’s announcement for how important a decent file system like ZFS is for SSD – but you may have been following Adam Leventhal’s blogs already…

By: mike

mike — Sun, 09 Nov 2008 05:31:21 +0000

I -hope- there is a good ZFS alternative (BTRFS looks promising) that is open for all to use, and with the hardware compatibilities that Linux has. Using OpenSolaris right now has been a pain – from my ignorance on Solaris administration, outdated documentation, hardware compatibility questions, an incorrect/partial HCL, and a bug system that is too hard to use and not capable of updates.